"When two camels fight, the pasture gets ruined"
(Azerbaijani proverb)
There is a conflict in history known as the "Six-Day War" that took place from June 5-10, 1967. Israel and five Arab states clashed with each other, and Israel emerged victorious. Syria lost the Golan Heights, Egypt the Sinai Peninsula and the Gaza Strip, and Jordan the West Bank of the Jordan River. Jordan and Egypt were almost entirely deprived of their military air forces—planes—and their tank troops were also destroyed.
There is also a large difference when comparing human losses: about 600-800 Israelis died, whereas more than 15,000 Arabs did. According to some historians, a large part of the Arab armies perished starving and thirsty in the Sinai deserts. Israel truly drove them away publicly from those areas.
However, one of the most tragicomic episodes of that war was the behavior of Egyptian state television. When Jewish troops advanced under Cairo, Egyptian TV broadcast programs and news claiming that the Arabs had won. They said they were close to completely annihilating Israel.
Another comedy was that people actually believed this! Even the Egyptian leader at the time, Prime Minister Gamal Abdel Nasser, who was aware of the real situation at the front line, announced his decision to resign, and the public poured into the streets, saying, "Hey man, where are you going? We are about to achieve such a modest victory." After that, Teacher Nasser "grabbed the cow's tail" and returned, never resigning.
In 2003, when US troops led by Bush swept through Iraq, Saddam Hussein's Minister of Information and Propaganda, Mohammed Saeed al-Sahhaf, also became one of the main comical figures in world media. I remember well that even we Azerbaijani journalists eagerly awaited Teacher Sahhaf's accurate news bulletins every day; we read them and laughed holding our stomachs, hoping nothing bad would happen. Because while Bush's army was searching for Saddam hiding in the Tigris valleys, Teacher Sahhaf announced: "Everything is calm in Baghdad; we are close to the brave Iraqi army approaching Texas."
Similar stories are told about North Korea's national football team's participation in the 2010 World Cup. After losing 2:1 to Brazil in the first game, 7:0 to Portugal in the second, and 3:0 to Ivory Coast in the third, North Korean television reportedly broadcast news that they had won all the games. It seems they finally claimed to be world champions.
Why do I recall these? Currently, a temporary ceasefire has been signed between the US and Iran, and one of the main questions troubling the world is "Who won?" For example, some say the regime in Iran has not changed, so the US lost. The opposing view is that since nearly the entire leadership of Iran has been killed, that in itself is a regime change, meaning the US-Israel duo won the fight. Among other things, Iran's military-economic potential has suffered heavy, perhaps irreparable, blows. Personally, if you are interested in my opinion, I am among those who believe Iran lost.
However, the concept of defeat is different for the religious regime and fanatic radicals who consider this world transient. They are preparing to meet the Houthis on the other side; it is difficult, even impossible, to defeat such systems with secular methods. Therefore, this dough, or more precisely, the lawn will require a lot of water.
The word "lawn" has a meaning. This term is used in Israel's military-political planning: "Mowing the lawn." For example, sometimes they enter Lebanon, Syria, etc., "mow" down terrorist groups, and leave. Now, poor, unfortunate Iran will try for a while to recover, the mullahs will patch the tear in their turbans, and only then will we see US-Israeli planes in the sky again.
If they want the ceasefire in the US-Israel-Iran conflict to be long-lasting, they should entrust this matter to the OSCE Minsk Group. Kasprshik should go to grease the camel in the Hormuz Strait... Finally, in the end, the strait should be named after Trump.
Zamin HACI