Russia's attacks by violating Poland's airspace with UAVs are the West's attempt to break Ukraine's logistics chain. Most of the weapons sent from the West to Ukraine enter through Poland. Therefore, selecting Poland as a target is a way for the West to test its pulse. If NATO countries, led by the US, do not take harsh steps against Russia for this attack and are content with statements, Russia may hit the weapons and logistics centers sent to Ukraine on Polish territory.
By targeting Poland, Russia wants to split NATO and bring Eastern Europe under control. US President Donald Trump's loyal approach to Russian President Vladimir Putin and the meeting in Alaska caused Putin to take such a step.
As seen, Russia attacks, while the West stands on defense and attempts to prevent this attack by calling Putin to dialogue. The US president has no intention of defending either Poland or Europe. He is not interested in invoking Article 5 of the NATO treaty, which envisages collective defense. For Trump, the main strategic policy is Israel and its security.
Of course, the US has state interests. Trump is at least compelled to protect Washington's geopolitical and international interests.
It does not seem possible that the processes will go as planned by Putin. In a way, Putin has shot himself in the foot by violating Poland's airspace. It is further proven that Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky is right and that the guarantee of security is necessary. It is clear that Putin does not want to be satisfied with just Ukraine; he plans to target other European countries as well.
Europe’s security is threatened. What is happening could strengthen the Western alliance and result in the delivery of offensive weapons to Ukraine.
At the same time, if mass attacks are carried out deep into Russia, it is possible that the Kremlin will order military targets in Poland and the Baltic states to be hit.
Russia’s attack on Poland once again shows that if serious military aid is not provided to Ukraine, Eastern Europe will be fully targeted by Putin.
Məhəmməd Əsədullazadə,
political expert